http://mi2n.com/press.php3?press_nb=48160
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February 24, 2003 (Barcelona, Spain)-- Have you ever wondered why some
songs burn up and down the charts in record time while others have a
slower climb, tend to linger and then slowly fall? Have you ever
wondered why some songs that seem to have "hit" written all over them
do not perform as expected while others seem to come out of nowhere and
become monster successes? Science would say the reasons can be found in
the mathematical properties of the music and which mathematical
patterns produce certain feelings and reactions to what we hear.
Polyphonic HMI, based in Barcelona, Spain has developed an artificial
intelligence application that helps music labels determine the hit
potential of music prior to its release. The new application is to
music what x-rays are to medicine, allowing labels to see mathematical
patterns and structures in music that until now have been hidden. Not
being able to see these patterns in the past has meant that a lot of
money gets spent on promoting singles and albums that do not have what
it takes.
The company is working with major labels in both the US and the UK and
expects to play a major role in reversing the downward music sales
trend.
The application is called Hit Song Science (HSS) and independent and
major labels alike began experimenting with the service in the third
and forth quarters of 2002 to learn how to best apply the technology
and new information to their respective artists and businesses. Now
the company is working at various levels within all five major label
groups. Some of the labels already using or exploring the service
include Universal UK, Sony, RCA, J,(of the BMG group) Innocent,(of the
EMI group) and Liquid 8 (independent). The company expects most labels
to begin using the service this year.
"Because the technology is so new and potentially revolutionary, at
first we were greeted with natural skepticism but as label presidents
have gotten personally involved in using the reports we generate on
their music that skepticism has gone away. We're helping labels
increase productivity by selling more music to more people and augment
the efficiency of their marketing spend." says Polyphonic HMI's CEO
Mike McCready.
Muff Winwood of Sony UK adds, "The kind of information Polyphonic HMI
provides in their pre-release reports helps reduce uncertainty before
releasing a given song."
Polyphonic also has begun to experiment with the technology at the
production level of music creation. By teaming up with veteran artists
and producers the application adds to the creative process by isolating
the important attributes of the music which will allow new sounds and
styles to flourish. One of these producers is Peter Swartling. Peter
headed the local BMG A&R department in Sweden for 7 years and is
now a consultant to Sony Music. His artists and projects have garnered
over 20 Grammy awards.
Peter, now based in New York City says, "We, as producers have an
ability to "hear" what sounds right and what doesn't. Making hit songs
is what we do. However I think we can always become more precise and
that is what we're doing with Hit Song Science".
Polyphonic's HSS analyzes the underlying mathematical patterns in
unreleased music and compares them to the patterns in recent hit songs.
The new technology can isolate individual patterns in key aspects of
the music that humans detect and that help determine whether or not
they like a given song. For example, the dictionary describes melody as
a series of notes strung together in a meaningful pattern. But
determining what is "meaningful" is a very human and very subjective
experience. This technology is able to detect what those melody
patterns are as well as decipher patterns in other aspects of the music
such as beat, harmony, pitch, octave, fullness of sound, brilliance and
chord progression.
The application can recognize hidden market trends and consumer taste
patterns as they evolve over time as well as complex intricacies of
recorded music only understood at very deep levels of the human
consciousness. Most people can't explain why they like a certain song
beyond saying they like blues, or a good beat and a strong melody. This
technology can actually pinpoint what complex patterns are most
attractive to a given listener or audience. Music labels are using the
technology to better allocate promotion spending, accurately predict
sales and anticipate the market."
The following article in The Guardian discusses how the software relies on the past and if the culture needs an innovative sound pattern, it may or not be able to predict future hits.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/music/2005/jan/17/popandrockHere is another article about Hit Song software.
hit song software.pdf